BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 25 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength = 140.39
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 125.90 24 62 1A 45 ( 7- 6) Arizona -14.49 -23.51
2 09/09/2017 Home L 134.76 20 38 1B 4 ( 8- 4) Western Illinois -5.63 -12.37
3 09/23/2017 Away W * 144.56 28 10 1B 66 ( 1- 10) Cal Poly SLO 4.17 13.83
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 154.53 48 20 1B 51 ( 3- 7) Northern Colorado 14.14 13.86
5 10/07/2017 Home W 165.82 37 16 1B 9 ( 6- 5) Illinois St 25.43 -4.43
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 143.45 42 20 1B 77 ( 0- 11) Portland St 3.06 18.94
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 152.02 45 31 1B 26 ( 5- 6) UC-Davis 11.63 2.37
8 10/28/2017 Home W * 160.30 37 17 1B 17 ( 7- 4) Sacramento St 19.91 0.09
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 141.38 15 17 1B 12 ( 7- 4) Montana 0.99 -2.99
10 11/11/2017 Home W * 139.61 37 36 1B 23 ( 5- 6) Montana St -0.78 1.78
11 11/18/2017 Away L * 121.49 20 48 1B 10 ( 9- 3) Southern Utah -18.90 -9.10
12 11/25/2017 Home L 100.88 10 41 1B 28 ( 10- 3) San Diego -39.51 8.51
Averages 140.39 30.2 29.7
Best game: 165.82 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 100.88 = 31 point loss to San Diego
Team stdev: 18.00